TECHNICAL PICTURE -- EUROS

Thu 5/23/02

     EURO OVERVIEW -- The December Eurodollar opened higher yesterday morning and traded sideways to higher the entire day to finally settle +.0550 at 97.0400. The other settlements were EDM +.0150 at 97.0425 and EDU +.0350 at 97.6500. EDM & EDU posted their contract highs and EDZ posted a 2-week high. EDM posted a contract high settlement and EDU & EDZ posted their 1-1/2 week high settlements. With yesterday's contract highs (EDM & EDU), the short-term trend is now bullish as all of the contracts are trading at or above the upper boundaries of their 1-month sideways trading ranges. The intermediate-term trend (1-month to 1- year) is bullish as all of the contracts have traded higher over the past year. The long-term trend is also bullish with the Eurodollar trending higher over the past 7-years since posting a 6-year low of 92.7300 (H95) back in Jan of 1995. EDZ02's 9-day RSI rose to 60.3 where it remains neutral.


MOVING AVERAGES -- EDZ02:
Settle>3>4>5>9=10>18>20>30>100>50>200

With yesterday's 1-1/2 week high settlement, EDZ remained above all of the averages. EDZ's oscillators strengthened as both the 3-9 day & 5-20 crossed up into positive territory.

VOLUME/OPEN INTEREST -- Tuesday's : 802,305. Tuesday's O.I. +27,734 at 4,387,985. Yesterday's est. volume: 730,489.

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE COMMENT -- EDZ posted a 2-week high at 97.0900. EDZ posted a pit-session low at 97.0150 and posted an overall low at 96.9850 during the Globex session. Resistance should be met at 97.0900, 97.1000, 97.1350 and at 98.2600. Support should be found at 96.9850, 96.7450, 96.6450 and at 96.5000.

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS -- EURO FRONT-MONTH FUTURE (EDZ02)

98.2600  All-time high EDH02 (Jan 14)
97.1350  Contract high (11/7/01)
97.1000  6-1/2 month high (May 6)
97.0900  2-week high (Yesterday)
97.0850  6-1/2 month high settle (May 5)
*97.0400 1-1/2 week high settle (Wednesday) & Pivot Point
97.0150  Yesterday's pit-session low
96.9850  Yesterday's overall low (Globex)
96.7450  1-month low (Last Wednesday)
96.6450  1-1/4 month low (Apr 19)
96.6050  100-day average
96.5850  50-day average
96.5000  1-1/2 month low (Apr 16)
96.3050  200-day average
96.2350  1-1/2 month low (Apr 5)
96.0600  1-3/4 month low (Mar 28)
95.9300  5-1/2 month low (Mar 21)
95.8000  5-3/4 month low (12/06/01)
95.6750  7-1/2 month low (11/27/01)
95.1900  9-1/4 month low (9/04/01)
94.3600  11-3/4 month low (6/29/01)
94.2650  1-year low (5/21/01)
94.1400  1-1/4 year low (2/16/01)
93.2000  1-1/3 year low (10/06/00)
92.7600  1-3/4 year low (7/19/00)

RETRACEMENT--EURO FRONT-MONTH FUTURE (EDZ02)
1-year 2.8700 point upmove from 94.2650 (5/21/01) to 97.1350 (11/7/01)       51% retrace (11/27/01 low) 95.6750

HIGH    1/4     1/3     .382    1/2     .618    2/3     3/4     LOW
97.1350 96.4200 96.1800 96.0400 95.7000 95.3600 95.2200 94.9850 94.2650

SUPPORT/RESISTANCE LEVELS -- EURO BACK-MONTH FUTURE (EDU02)

97.6850  Contract high (Yesterday)
97.6600  Contract high settle (May 10)
*97.6500 1-1/2 week high settle (Wednesday) & Pivot Point
97.6200  Yesterday's pit-session low
97.6100  Yesterday's overall low (Globex)
97.4200  3-week low (May 9 & May 2)
97.2800  1-month low (Apr 19)
97.2150  50 & 100-day averages
97.1150  1-1/4 month low (Apr 16)
96.8800  1-1/2 month low (Apr 5)
96.8750  200-day average
96.7100  2-month low (Apr 1)
96.6450  5-1/2 month low (Mar 22 & 25)
96.4700  6-month low (12/6/01)
96.2900  9-month low (11/27/01)
96.2100/96.1400 GAP| 9/13/01 low/ 9/11/01 high
95.5900  9-1/4 month low (9/4/01)
95.4750  9-1/2  month low (8/18/01)
95.3200  10-month low (8/3/01)
94.7000  11-3/4 month low (6/29/01)
94.6250  1-year low settle (5/21/01)
94.5500  15-1/2 month low (5/22/01)
94.3100  1-1/4 year low (2/15/01)
92.2800  5-1/4 year low (5/1/00)
90.9100  Contract low (11/7/94)

RETRACEMENT--EURO BACK-MONTH FUTURE (EDU02)
1-year 3.1350 point upmove from 94.5500 (5/22/01) to 97.6850 (5/10/02)

HIGH    1/4     1/3     .382    1/2     .618    2/3     3/4     LOW
97.6850 96.8850 96.6250 96.4750 96.1150 95.7400 95.5900 95.3300 94.5500


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